Sep 23, 2026 - Politics & Policy

Cook nudges three Senate races toward Democrats

Neal Rothschild

Sen. Jon Ossoff delivers a speech from a podium, gesturing with his right hand — Sen. Jon Ossoff. Photo: Elijah Nouvelage/Getty Images

Senate races in Georgia, Kansas and South Carolina were reclassified with a nudge toward Democrats in the latest analysis from the closely watched Cook Political Report.

The big picture: To win the Senate, Democrats must net four seats in November.

Tighter races in Republican strongholds like Kansas and South Carolina could force the GOP to devote resources beyond the core battlegrounds.

The latest: In the latest Cook ratings, Kansas moved from "Likely Republican" to "Lean Republican." South Carolina shifted from "Solid Republican" to "Likely Republican."

Georgia and the seat held by Sen. Jon Ossoff (D) changed from "Lean Democrat" to "Likely Democrat."

By the numbers: There are six Republican-held Senate seats rated by Cook as a "Toss Up" or better for Democrats.

The Georgia shift makes a Republican pickup there less likely, while the Kansas move expands the map of competitive seats for Democrats.

Zoom out: The midterms environment is improving for Democrats amid voter discontent about gas prices, the cost of living and the broader handling of the Iran war.

Flashback: Last month, Cook shifted Senate and gubernatorial races in Texas and Iowa in Democrats' favor.

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Cook nudges three Senate races toward Democrats

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