Axios Markets

July 31, 2026
🙌🏼 Fri-YAY. Wow, it's been a great 48 hours for OG tech. Microsoft put the mega in mega cap yesterday, adding nearly $500 billion in market value.
đź‘€ It was enough to give even the ailing AI trade a bit of vim (along with possibly some moves from Citadel's Ken Griffin). The tech-heavy Nasdaq closed up for the day, and the Philly semiconductor index surged, too.
- The chips resurgence continued overnight, with South Korea's KOSPI up nearly 18%(!). That's all pushing U.S. stock futures into the green this morning.
It's not just tech titans basking in AI bucks. Today, Matt looks at how the AI boom is boosting the fortunes of companies not usually thought of as being tech. Plus, you'll never guess who's not benefiting from AI. Emily has more.
Giddy up! In 1,149 words, a 4.5-minute read.
1 big thing: 🖌️ You can't spell paint without AI
The data center boom is driving the earnings of staid industrial companies in addition to the makers of chips and servers.
Why it matters: The newfound importance of AI to companies that make paint, asphalt and industrial cable mirrors the buildout's growing role as a driver of the "real economy."
The latest: Second-quarter GDP numbers released yesterday showed that investment in information-processing equipment and software contributed almost half a percentage point to the U.S. economy's 1.5% growth rate.


Between the lines: These numbers include investments in servers and chips, the costliest parts of a data center. But they don't capture the full scope of the AI boom, which also involves titanic amounts of spending on less sophisticated products.
Case in point: Paint maker Sherwin-Williams knocked earnings out of the park earlier this week, sending its stock up 8.3% on Tuesday — its biggest jump in over four years — despite continued weakness in U.S. housing, which usually drives its numbers.
- AI supercharged sales growth of the company's "protective and marine" coating products, which grew in the "mid-teens," the company said, far higher than its overall 7.5% sales growth during the quarter.
- "When we talk about AI data centers and the build-out, you think of the race of these hyperscalers," said Heidi Petz, Sherwin-Williams' CEO, adding that "speed matters, and we can provide speed. We can provide a comprehensive one-stop solution for many of their coatings needs."
Zoom out: Sherwin-Williams isn't alone.
- Wire and cable distributor WESCO International soared yesterday after trouncing expectations for sales and earnings. Sales at its data center solutions division jumped 45%.
- In its earnings call on Wednesday, the CEO of industrial coatings maker PPG told analysts "there's quite a pipeline in data center work which is not only fire protection, but structural steel flooring, insulated coatings [and] dielectric coatings."
- Shares of industrial conglomerate 3M — which makes hard hats, industrial adhesives and sandpaper, in addition to Post-it notes — notched their best gain of the year last week, after the company spotlighted that Microsoft was using its patented fiber optic cable connectors in its Azure data centers.
- Asphalt and aggregate companies Vulcan Materials and Martin Marietta Materials both spotlighted data center-related demand in their earnings results this week, with executives at Vulcan telling analysts that "large project opportunities continue to drive non-residential activity, particularly data centers."
The big picture: With the hyperscalers alone — Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, Microsoft and Oracle — expected to spend more than $750 billion on AI capex this year, there are plenty of profits to be had in the U.S. economy.
The bottom line: As AI becomes an important line of business outside the tech world, it means that more companies will enjoy some of the fruits of the spending frenzy.
- But it also means those companies — and the U.S. economy — will be more exposed to risks and volatility that accompany the boom.
2. AI's real job threat: lower pay
The AI job apocalypse may need a rebrand — a new white paper finds that rather than triggering full-scale job losses, the new technology is slowing wage growth, especially among lower-paying occupations.
Why it matters: In other words, you get to keep your job, but you'll make less money doing it.
Where it stands: Workers in occupations with high AI exposure had real wage growth that was 6.7 percentage points lower than that of those in low-exposure fields after 2023, the first full year after the rollout of ChatGPT.
- That's according to the report from economists Sania Edlich and Torsten Slok at the investing giant Apollo Global Management.
- Affected workers lost out on $28 billion annually as a result.
- Workers at the bottom of the income ladder saw wage growth decline more than those at the top, they found.
How it works: Apollo used Labor Department wage data to compare pay in 11 occupations with high AI exposure, as measured by Anthropic's Economic Index, to those with less exposure.
- Those occupations include computer programmers, customer service reps and financial analysts.
- Apollo says around 5.8 million U.S. workers, or about 3.7% of the labor force, are currently in high-exposure occupations.
What to watch: "As AI adoption deepens across corporate America, the true number of workers feeling these effects could grow substantially beyond what current exposure measures capture," the paper's authors wrote.
Reality check: The number of AI-affected jobs may understate the trend, and is based on just Anthropic's analysis.
The big picture: It's not a good time for slowing wage growth — higher costs are eating into Americans' paychecks and savings.
- Spending rose faster than income last month and savings declined, according to data out yesterday from the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
Between the lines: Intuitively, the findings make sense. Over the past year, executives at many companies have talked endlessly about AI's potential to replace human workers.
- That could scare workers away from demanding higher pay or job-hopping.
- The quits rate, a measure of workers voluntarily leaving their jobs, is now comparable to mid-2010s levels.
Friction point: Slower wage growth is the kind of thing that Wall Street paints as positive. It means slower inflation more broadly and eases pressure on the Federal Reserve to raise rates.
- Still, for those who like pay raises and are struggling with higher prices at the supermarket and gas station, it's less than heartening.
3. Microsoft's mega mega-cap day


Microsoft had a day for the record books yesterday— its stock rose 16%, the biggest jump for the tech giant in nearly two decades.
- The resulting surge in market cap — $450 billion — was apparently the biggest one-day gain in stock market history, per Bloomberg's analysis.
Between the lines: Investors were grooving on the company's latest earnings report and the powerful growth of the Azure cloud computing business — a sign that its AI investments are paying off.
The bottom line: The cloud business is making it rain over in Redmond, Washington.
Thanks for reading! You can get in touch with us at [email protected] and [email protected] or reply to this email.
Thanks to Jeffrey Cane for editing and Carlin Becker for copy editing this edition.
Tell your friends to sign up here. You can also find Emily on X.com or Bluesky.
Sign up for Axios Markets

Stay on top of the latest market trends and economic insights



