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New research sketches out how AI might reshape the economy

A line chart that tracks monthly projections from January 2026 to January 2030 under four scenarios: without AI, modest, substantial and extreme. All rise over time. By January 2030, values reach $33.56 trillion, $34.10 trillion, $36.34 trillion and $44.44 trillion, up from roughly $30.98 trillion to $31.17 trillion.

Projected U.S. GDP under AI scenarios

Data: Anthropic; Chart: Courtenay Brown/Axios

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